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Subject: Re: Question fro you math wizards

Author: Andrew Dados

Date: 05:36:27 02/08/00

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On February 08, 2000 at 08:05:40, Les Fernandez wrote:

>Does anyone know given a string of "x" numbers (ie 237496) how large must a
>string of random numbers be so that you can have a 95% chance of finding that
>exact string within the larger string of numbers.  If there is a way that I can
>calculate it please provide info.  Keep in mind although the above example
>contains 6 numbers it is used only for an example so that I may understand the
>concept.  I am interested in being able to calculate how long the length of the
>longer string needs to be for numbers up to about 60 in length if this is
>possible. Thanks
>
>Les

My naive approach: given x: length of your substring and y: length of string...
(1-1/x^10) - probability that there is *no* match in one slot;
(1-1/x^10)^n - probability of *no* match in n slots;
1-(1-1/x^10)^n - probability of at least one match in n slots...n slots means:
y=n+x;
so you need to solve equation:
1-(1-1/x^10)^(y-x)>=0.95
given I didn't have my coffee yet it's all correct with some 0.15% chance..:)




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