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Subject: Re: Uri Blass(deep fritz) vs Robert Hyatt (IBM) - opinions or analys

Author: Dave Gomboc

Date: 23:14:30 09/08/01

Go up one level in this thread


On September 09, 2001 at 02:13:07, Dave Gomboc wrote:

>On September 09, 2001 at 01:51:24, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On September 08, 2001 at 23:37:18, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>
>>>On September 08, 2001 at 15:25:47, Uri Blass wrote:
>>>
>>>>On September 08, 2001 at 12:18:45, Gian-Carlo Pascutto wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On September 08, 2001 at 11:46:09, K. Burcham wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>       so i have concluded after lots of time analyzing deep blue positions
>>>>>>          that todays programs seem to be very close or equivelant to deep
>>>>>>        blue in playing strength.
>>>>>
>>>>>The problem with DB and the main reason why this debate has been
>>>>>going on since the start of CCC is that theres just not enough
>>>>>data. 6 games doesn't seem to be enough to get a decent idea to
>>>>>compare DB to others. So people start making all kinds of assumptions,
>>>>>and arrive at even more shaky conclusions.
>>>>>
>>>>>I personally do not believe that the top comps of today are
>>>>>equivalent to DB as far as search is concerned. This is based
>>>>>on the data I have seen and what I know of DB's design and search.
>>>>>
>>>>>As for eval, well, I think that is another matter. While DB no
>>>>>doubt had a very sophisticated eval, and contained more than
>>>>>nowadays micros can do, I'm not sure if it was tuned as well as
>>>>>todays comps are.
>>>>>
>>>>>They may have had a team of grandmasters and good programmers,
>>>>>I think tuning a top program is something that must be done
>>>>>over time and based on loads and loads of games. It is wellknown
>>>>>that DB wasn't actually 'final' when it played Kasparov. So
>>>>>their tuning wasn't probably all that great either. The 'smart'
>>>>>parts of the eval may have interacted in a less than ideal way.
>>>>>
>>>>>Whether or not that added up to something that was weaker or
>>>>>stronger than current top is something I don't know. Nobody
>>>>>else here knows either. And you won't be able to tell from
>>>>>6 games, no matter how long you argue (its 5 years and counting...).
>>>>>
>>>>>Fact is, DB did what it was supposed to do. It beat Kasparov
>>>>>and generated a huge amount of publicity.
>>>>>
>>>>>Robert may not like the fact that many people (I won't call
>>>>>names, you know who you are) like to compare their programs
>>>>>to DB or even say they're better to build onto the huge
>>>>>amount of publicity DB generated. But somehow this is
>>>>>justified. Not because their programs are stronger, but
>>>>>because DB disappeared after it gave the impression comps
>>>>>topped humans. But a champion is not champion if he does not
>>>>>play.
>>>>>
>>>>>Deep Blue is the Fischer of computer chess.
>>>>>
>>>>>He did something cool, disappeared and left the rest of
>>>>>the world arguing instead of moving on.
>>>>>
>>>>>The Fritz match will be interesting. If Fritz beats Kramnik,
>>>>>that'll be a very good argument against DB. But I expect
>>>>>Kramnik to toast the comp actually.
>>>>>
>>>>>What bothers me about that match is that they made it look
>>>>>like Kramniks demands were redicolously unfair, so the meaning
>>>>>of the match in the comp/human/Kasparov/DB debate is reduced,
>>>>>but it seems that they aren't going to abide by the terms
>>>>>anyway. This is probably good...It'll do Kramnik more justice
>>>>>when he toasts it even then.
>>>>>
>>>>>Oh, and if Hsu publishes his book, that will also be
>>>>>very intersting of course...but when, if ever?
>>>>>
>>>>>> in other words i am looking for any positions
>>>>>> that my system will not choose deep blues next move. or does
>>>>>> not see deep blues next move as an equivelant eval.
>>>>>
>>>>>[D]r4bk1/5rpp/1Bppbp2/4n3/N7/1PP5/P1B2RPP/4R1K1 b - - 7 27
>>>>>
>>>>>From DB's ancestor. You need to
>>>>>
>>>>>a) find the best move (easy)b) find that it wins a knight (eval >2.xx) within 3
>>>>>minutes
>>>>>
>>>>>The 3 minutes should actually be divided with the speed difference
>>>>>between DB and Deep Thought.
>>>>>
>>>>>--
>>>>>GCP
>>>>
>>>>This position was discussed a long time ago in CCC
>>>>The conclusion of me and Amir Ban and a lot of other people was that black does
>>>>not win a piece because no human could prove that it wins a piece.
>>>>
>>>>If you want to find an impressive move of Deep thought then you need
>>>>to find something that humans can understand.
>>>>
>>>>If humans cannot understand that it is winning a piece after going forward and
>>>>backward with their program then the argument is not convincing.
>>>>
>>>>Uri
>>>
>>>
>>>Until 20 years ago humans thought that in KQ vs KR the king and rook _must_
>>>stay together for best defense.  After a computer demonstrated that this is
>>>not correct, humans _finally_ figured out why.
>>>
>>>The number of things humans are not going to understand is going to go _up_
>>>and not _down_ over the next 20 years.  If you think that just because a human
>>>can't understand something, it can't be correct, then humans are going to get
>>>wrecked by a _lot_ of "incorrect" play over the next 20+ years and beyond.
>>
>>The main problem is the fact that humans together with programs ,time and the
>>game could not understand the evaluation of Deep thought.
>>
>>If Hsu has Deep blue Junior that is supposed to be better than Deep thought then
>>I invite him to prove the +2 evaluation against one of the top programs when he
>>gives the top program some hours per move.
>>
>>I am interested to know what he thinks today about that position.
>>Does he think that Deep thought really outsearched Cray blitz by 20 plies or
>>does he think that Deep thought had a bug in the evaluation that caused it to
>>believe that it wins material(maybe it had a big positional score)?
>>
>>I believe that Cray blitz was better than Deep thought and I think that Deep
>>thought was simply lucky to get a position when Cray blitz blundered because it
>>was more easy to find the right moves for Deep thought and not to find the right
>>moves for Cray blitz.
>>
>>Uri
>
>Hsu hasn't worked for IBM for quite some time.  AFAIK he's at Compaq... oops,
>HP. :-)
>
>Dave

Actually, now that I think about it, didn't Compaq sell off their processor
stuff to Intel?  Maybe he's there now.

Dave



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