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Subject: Re: Introducing "No-Moore's Law"

Author: Brian Richardson

Date: 12:57:04 02/27/03

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As I recall, 5 years ago folks were saying only another 10-12 years for Moore's
Law speedups...now they are still saying another 10 years or so.  I agree that
at some point physics will dictate limitations, but then there is more
parallelism.  Sun just outlined plans for running 4 threads on each of 4 cores
on a single chip in the 3-5 year time frame.  That would be roughly 16x.  Both
Intel and IBM have similar plans to extend on-chip parallelism.
Bottom Line:  Just as coding for 64 bits will become the norm soon, so will
coding for parallel searching with multiple threads.

Brian



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