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Subject: Re: Fred wins Wijk?!

Author: Djordje Vidanovic

Date: 08:47:17 01/28/00

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On January 28, 2000 at 04:36:04, Frederic Friedel wrote:

>On January 27, 2000 at 22:55:51, Michael Neish wrote:
>
>>Anyone could do this in a few minutes.  I ran a Cadaques-style tournament
>>between seven fictitious computer programs, i.e., seven programs play each other
>>over matches consisting of 20 games each, 420 games in total for the whole
>>tournament.
>>
>>I made the following assumptions:
>>
>>1)  The computers are all of equal strength.
>>
>>2)  The probability of a win, draw or loss are one-third each.
>>
>
>I did exactly the same for me, Kasparov, Anand and Kramnik. Turns out that each
>of us wins approximately the same number of times. A real eye-opener. Damn, I
>should have entered Wijk aan Zee -- my chances would have been just as good as
>anybody else's.

Brilliant! Count me in! Darn, had I entered too does that mean that our
respective chances for winning the Wijk would've been halved or quartered --- I
tend to get confused with statistics?

***  Djordje



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