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Subject: Re: Anyone else miss IBM mentality

Author: Dann Corbit

Date: 22:58:28 02/07/03

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On February 08, 2003 at 01:52:42, Terry McCracken wrote:
>On February 08, 2003 at 01:38:26, Dann Corbit wrote:
[snip]
>>Hsu would create 65536 chips that are 1024 times faster each.  It would be a
>>whipping.  I don't even think it would be entertaining, unless you can't stand
>>Kasparov.
>>
>That's a bit of an exaggeration!
>IMO when Kasparov was at his best, 1992-93 no computer then or now or a Super
>Deep Blue could have stopped him!
>
>Machines are NOT better than the BEST!!

I agree that Kasparov is the best human chess player of all time.

But a machine that is thousands of times faster than Deep Blue would simply be
unbeatable.  Let's suppose 2048 times the compute power (for example).  That is
clearly achievable.

That is 11 fold speed improvement.  At 50 ELO per doubling, we would add 550 ELO
to Deepest Blue.  Instead of 2700-2800 approximate performance, it would be
3300, and Kasparov would get 5% of the points in a match (on average).  Which
means if they played 100 games, Kasparov would get 5 points, if he did not tire
out.  I think probably he would tire and get zero, if he did not score early.




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