Author: Howard Exner
Date: 22:55:10 11/05/00
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On November 05, 2000 at 20:45:31, Paulo Soares wrote: >On November 05, 2000 at 15:55:16, Howard Exner wrote: > >> >>Here is a cut and paste from ChessWire #57 (Kasparov Chess) >> >>Q: With the increasing power of computers, when do you think an unbeatable >>computer chess program will appear? >> >>A: Shay Bushinsky answers: >>The term unbeatable is a very tough word indeed. I cannot say that a computer >>will ever be unbeatable in any given game in the near future, but I do see a >>time - maybe in about three years from now, when a computer will always prevail >>in an eight game match against the strongest human. >> >>I always take special note when a chess computer authority discloses their >>projections on how chess computers will play in the future. Some follow up >>questions ... >> >>- What sort of hardware would this be? >>- Is the Junior team working on a massive multi-processor project? >>- "eight game match" is chosen. Would the "strongest human" do better in a >>longer match? >>- Are GM's that you know disclosing more information on how Junior and other >>strong programs are playing today? Not looking for exact names and quotes here >>as they might want to keep that discussion in private, just general >>observations. > > >I don't believe that a commercial program can win matchs of 8 games against >SGMs in three years. I feel the same way about a home pc beating the top player in the world in three years at standard 40/2. That's why I was curious for more details. I wondered if Shay was referring to a multi-processor machine or just an affordable home pc. Also I'm guessing that he and Amir are fortunate in having many GM associations. Perhaps they know something we don't? >I consider probable that the program wins the first match, but it will be >difficult to continue winning, because SGMs(or GMs) will already be knowing the >weaknesses of the program. > >Paulo
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