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Subject: Re: Behind deep Blue

Author: Vincent Diepeveen

Date: 10:19:41 10/23/02

Go up one level in this thread


On October 23, 2002 at 11:26:38, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On October 23, 2002 at 05:08:11, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>
>>On October 22, 2002 at 17:29:53, martin fierz wrote:
>>
>>let's be clear. the kramnik guy was happy to receive
>>a million dollar in advance. Without much effort he played
>>a few moves and it was 3-1. Then everyone started complaining
>>that the match got no publicity and got no excitement.
>>
>>He then gives away a piece in a clear drawn position with
>>a 1b trick (1 check in between). That's bullet blunder level.
>>
>>In fact i don't make such mistakes that much at bullet and
>>last time i made such a mistake at slow level was a year or
>>10 ago. Kramnik had plenty of time.
>>
>>0% chance he didn't deliberately blunder there.
>
>I think that is a totally stupid statement to make.  I can point out GM blunders
>in _every_ tournament I have watched online.  I have seen them overlook a mate
>in 2.  A hanging queen.  You-name-it.  Human GMs _do_ make mistakes.  Not as
>often as non-GM players, but also far more often than "never".

Ha the 'expert' is speaking here.

In important matches the only few blunders i remember are also from
a year or 10 ago, and most definitely not from Kramnik, and always
in *big* time trouble.

Kramnik had 15 minutes left here...

So forget your online toying. Online games aren't earning money.

You know that, and i know it.

What i remember is something from the 80s. A match Kasparov-Karpov,
where Karpov makes a mistake in the endgame. If i show you the position
you will most likely call it 'every day blunder stuff'.

You should realize how well these guys are playing always.

They are not people who make a blunder in every game they play.

They have for years nightmares when they blunder in a game without
major time pressure.

Kramnik had no pressure here.

Apart from that, what's the last game you played 40 in 2 online?

I can't remember any GM playing 40 in 2 online. Do you?


>
>>
>>He just didn't care. He wasn't shocked after the blunder.
>>
>>It was 3-2.
>>
>>then some beginner game at round 6. he has white. No way
>>with his default play to even draw it. He would win it
>>without problems. So kramnik decides to put some fire in
>>the game and plays open position. A line he has never played
>>before.
>>
>>To play Bxf7 objective criteria are not there. There is just
>>one criteria: "make the match exciting".
>>
>>Of course that's very hard if you play your entire life 1.Nf3,
>>so for a change he played some other d4 c4 line and opened the
>>position. Then give away a piece for a few checks and the
>>crowd has something
>>
>>3-3
>>
>>Exciting enough for the sponsor?
>>
>>Yes. So 2 quick draws are enough. Kramnik could have won game 8
>>if he wanted to. He didn't want to. he gave it draw.
>>
>>Of course that openings line he normally doesn't play.
>>
>>So i was unhappy, i had expected kramnik to just make default moves
>>and win at least with 4.5 - 3.5
>>
>>Anyway, this match drew no attention at all. No newspaper and no TV
>>station and no one saw it. I can't speak for german newspapers, but
>>at ARD,ZDF and WDR i didn't see anything broadcasted yet.
>>
>>30 seconds at CNN, and even those 30 seconds i missed. That's all that
>>is broadcasted AFAIK.
>>
>>This match was not important. This match is not important. This match
>>will never be important except for sales for chessbase and 4-4 on their
>>box not showing a picture of kramnik, becuase no one knows the guy.
>>
>>I find kramnik stupid to not play 1 good game at the end.
>>
>>Whole match has been dominated again by games with stupid openings and
>>many sidelines and even openings kramnik never played before his entire
>>life.
>>
>>The match will be forgotten.
>>
>>Kasparov - Junior will draw hopefully more attention from the big crowds.
>>
>>Of course 'deep junior' the big crowd wil not see as a program called 'junior'.
>>
>>They will see it as a successor of deep blue of course.
>>
>>First you have 'deep blue' where they needed some old big machine,
>>then you have 'deep junior'. Very logical. I will not even explain
>>it too much around me. It's impossible to explain.
>>
>>computer = computer. Deep == Deep == Diep
>>
>>I stopped already long time ago explaining that Diep != Deep Blue
>>You can't help it. You can't blame them either.
>>
>>If they see Diep with blue interface as Deep Blue, obviously
>>they will see Deep Junior as the latest Deep Blue version.
>>
>>In some respects they are right. It's also focussed upon getting
>>a shitload of nodes a second, it's searching deep, and it's positional
>>play is not very good.
>>
>>Perhaps Kramnik will understand soon how stpuid he was. We can only
>>hope Kasparov does by now.
>>
>>I guess IBM marketing department managed to inform at least 30% of
>>the world population about Deep Blue solving chess in 1997.
>>
>>The only question i ask myself is: How big of a crowd will in december
>>2002 be reached?
>>
>>Knowing how many TV crews are in Jerusalem, perhaps they reach some market
>>there.
>>
>>>On October 22, 2002 at 11:53:26, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>
>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 18:24:44, martin fierz wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 13:12:37, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 10:22:39, Vincent Diepeveen wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>On October 21, 2002 at 08:34:31, Fernando Villegas wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>It is not valid that they created an awful machine. They didn't
>>>>>>>play any computerchess world championship nor did they join any
>>>>>>>other computer chess events where the european programs could measure
>>>>>>>themselves with deep blue.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>After 1995 they quit facing european programs.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>All we know is a few horrible games from both deep blue and kasparov.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>It is not trivial that deep blue 1997 could show better play
>>>>>>>than the poor level in these games.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>It is for sure that kasparov is the person to blame of course. he
>>>>>>>was not only an idiot, he was also bad for chess.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Where the 4-4 from kramnik is a sad reality, he will be able to possibly
>>>>>>>face other programs again. Kasparov will play junior.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>So kasparov made _one_ big mistake in resigning a drawn position, and mixing up
>>>>>>an opening (if that is really what happened) sequence of moves, and he is an
>>>>>>idiot.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Kramnik resigned a drawn game, and blew a couple of openings, and he is "ok"???
>>>>>
>>>>>not that i want to take sides in any debate involving deep blue, but:
>>>>>kramnik resigned a drawn game, true, but it was very hard to spot. and i don't
>>>>>know where he "blew openings" - not even one.
>>>>
>>>>I was talking about anti-computer more than anything else.  His first four
>>>>openings were
>>>>tame and nearly perfect for playing against a computer.  Then he got more
>>>>aggressive and
>>>>left his original plan, it seems...
>>>
>>>actually, to me it seemed as if the fritz team changed something in the openings
>>>after 4 games, not kramnik. kramnik did NOT play anti-fritz chess in this match.
>>>he played "kramnik as usual", which is quite good as anti-computer-chess goes,
>>>of course. i had this impression already after the first 4 games, that kramnik
>>>was not playing specific anti-computer lines he discovered at home (i really
>>>hope we'll get some insight into his preparation some day - e.g. did he know
>>>..Bf8?? was coming), but just his usual openings. i don't think kramnik changed
>>>anything after game 4. personally, i think his super-blunder in game 5 changed
>>>the match completely - kramnik probably makes such a blunder once in 100 or more
>>>games at most, and fritz just got lucky. i think that kramnik then wanted to
>>>"make up for it" with a brilliant game 6 and that backfired too (naturally...),
>>>and then he was only a shadow of his usual self for games 7 and 8... at least it
>>>should teach him a good lesson if he ever has another go at the computer!
>>>i also think your are generally right that kramnik just lost his concentration a
>>>bit after the first 4 games when everything was going so smoothly. that is just
>>>very human :-)
>>>
>>>
>>>>>>Somehow your "logic" totally escapes me...
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Fritz couldn't beat Kramnik in the match  even after he made at _least_ one
>>>>>>trivial-to-spot
>>>>>>blunder that turned a dead draw into a dead loss a piece down.
>>>>>
>>>>>kramnik made exactly ONE trivial-to-spot blunder, Qc4??. the position was not a
>>>>>dead draw without that blunder. i think it's a draw, but if kramnik had been
>>>>>100% sure that this was in fact a dead draw, he could have gone into this ending
>>>>>by force - and he didnt, which tells us something about what kramnik thought
>>>>>about this ending - that it was not *dead* drawn.
>>>>
>>>>My point was that in the Kasparov vs Deep Blue match, Kasparov resigned in a
>>>>game
>>>>that he thought was lost.  But which deep analysis showed was drawn.  Kramnik
>>>>resigned
>>>>a game that was probably drawn, although it has not been subjected to the same
>>>>analysis as
>>>>the DB/GK game.  But the similarity is there, he resigned _too early_.
>>>
>>>you can say that with the benefit of hindsight. lots of people wrote this here,
>>>but it's just not true. if you are sitting at the board, and only see losses,
>>>you resign. which means if you do not see the "miracle save" in that position,
>>>you resign - there is no point in playing on if you do not see it, because every
>>>other possible line will just lose. you cannot call resigning in that position
>>>an "easy-to-spot-blunder", just as you cannot call kasparov's resignation an
>>>"easy-to-spot-blunder". it was a wrong decision obviously, but not easy to
>>>spot...
>>>
>>>>In the last game Kasparov made what most considered to be a blunder with h6.
>>>>Kramnik
>>>>_clearly_ blundered a piece and turned a probable draw into a sure loss with one
>>>>move that
>>>>takes most programs a few milliseconds to spot as losing.
>>>>
>>>>Yet Kasparov was routinely criticized as playing like a 2000 player, yet Kramnik
>>>>has not
>>>>gotten any such comments.
>>>>
>>>>Everything is the _same_ except for the opponents.  One was the hated Deep Blue
>>>>from IBM,
>>>>the other is a popular micro program...  :)
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>Nxf7 turned out to be a mistake too, but much more in the sense that you should
>>>>>not play this way against computers, and specially not when you are leading with
>>>>>+1. in a chess sense, it is very far from "trivial to spot"... as it turns out,
>>>>>Nxf7 was a ?? for kramnik for the rest of the match - he couldnt recover after
>>>>>game 6...
>>>>
>>>>I concsider that to be a strategic blunder, if not a tactical blunder.  But that
>>>>only
>>>>highlights the issue here.  Kramnik actually played much worse overall than
>>>>Kasparov
>>>>did, but was still able to draw the match.  I think the first four games were
>>>>more revealing
>>>>to me, personally.  The last 4 games seemed to be twilight-zone stuff...
>>>
>>>i don't know how you can say that kramnik played "much worse". i see that both
>>>players made one big chess blunder (...h6 for kasparov in game 6, ...Qc4 for
>>>kramnik in game 5), both resigned a drawn position where it was extremely hard
>>>to spot that it was a draw, and apart from that i see no real blunders.
>>>obviously, Nxf7 by kramnik is a very questionable decision, but then you can say
>>>kramnik made 3 mistakes in 8 games and kasparov 2 in 6, which is very close to
>>>each other.
>>>besides, kramnik played excellent anti-computer-chess in games 1-4, and you
>>>cannot say that kasparov played a single excellent anti-computer game in the
>>>whole match.
>>>on the other hand, DB played a great game (the one where kasparov resigned where
>>>he had a perpetual), outplaying kasparov completely, something which DF never
>>>did to kramnik in the whole match.
>>>
>>>aloha
>>>  martin
>>>
>>>
>>>>>judging from the games, DF certainly didn't seem to be "much better than DB",
>>>>>which at least didnt produce such ridiculous moves as DF did :-)
>>>>>which is not to say that DB would not have been capable of playing such moves
>>>>>too...
>>>>
>>>>I certainly agree.  Kramnik made more bad moves than Kasparov, yet he didn't
>>>>lose
>>>>the match. That says something...
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>aloha
>>>>>  martin
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>>While Deep Blue
>>>>>>_did_
>>>>>>beat Kasparov in a match where both made mistakes.  And Fritz is much better
>>>>>>than
>>>>>>deep blue?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>Somehow, again, your "logic" totally escapes me...
>>>>>>
>>>>>>In fact, your "logic" is really just a form of envy/agenda, IMHO...
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Perhaps kasparov has LEARNED a bit more than kramnik has.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>If you lose once from the thing, then only when you are world champion
>>>>>>>you can play it again. But for sure is that fritz exists as software
>>>>>>>and you can buy it and play it, and it joins tournaments too usual.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>that's not the case with deep blue.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>We just know it sucked ass, based upon its play. Kasparov sucked even
>>>>>>>more of course, but he always got away with poor chess against programs.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>In fact it is realistic that he didn't care for getting 2.5-2.5, just
>>>>>>>game 6 IMHO he was imagining deep blue to be so bad, like 1980 software,
>>>>>>>that he thought he coudl get back to a draw or something, after playing
>>>>>>>horrible blunders like b5.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>We do not know. All we know is that humans when playing computers do not
>>>>>>>show very good play. Look to kramnik. he plays the first 4 games like
>>>>>>>he plays rapid games. He gets 3-1 then (lucky machine) and the rest of
>>>>>>>the games he doesn't care simply.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>But still 4-4 is acceptible from historic viewpoint.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>What we do know is that kasparov has on average played 1-1 against
>>>>>>>deep blue.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>First match easy win 4-2, second match by some poor games a loss 3.5-2.5
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>Then IBM stopped. Wise decision. AFter so much  marketing that deep blue
>>>>>>>has solved chess even, they had to quit of course. Or they would look
>>>>>>>stupid in 1998.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>Bob
>>>>>>>>Feng DO mention problems with the program by Thomas. If they were enough to
>>>>>>>>speak of "full of.." or not it is a matter of tastes in the writting style. My
>>>>>>>>impression was and still is that the author did have many problems and even so
>>>>>>>>they created an awful machine. Of course this does not means the software
>>>>>>>>problem were more or worst than the hardware problems.
>>>>>>>>Anyway the core of my mressions is the first: DP could have been absolutely
>>>>>>>>untouchable if worked one year more.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>My best
>>>>>>>>Fernando



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