Author: Terry McCracken
Date: 16:50:07 07/16/01
Go up one level in this thread
On July 16, 2001 at 00:58:25, Tanya Deborah wrote: >On July 15, 2001 at 14:54:52, Uri Blass wrote: > >>On July 15, 2001 at 12:37:02, Terry McCracken wrote: >> >>>On July 15, 2001 at 11:36:39, Otello Gnaramori wrote: >>> >>>>On July 15, 2001 at 10:57:47, Terry McCracken wrote: >>>> >>>>>On July 15, 2001 at 07:58:10, odell hall wrote: >>>>> >>>>>Give both technology and programming another 5 years and I believe by then we'll >>>>>have _solid_ GM 2600+ chess playing monsters! >>>>> >>>>>Terry >>>> >>>>That is truly an interesting point. >>>>If it is just a matter of time let's just wait and see. >>>>But probably Terry you are omitting some interesting signals coming from >>>>Argentina. IMHO it is a sign that we are approaching that 2600 line very quickly >>>>and some top program is probably already there in a certain configuration. The >>>>match with Huebner can also contribute to clarify better the current "state of >>>>the art" in computer chess since it is played at tournament time setting and Dr. >>>>Huebner is an anticomps specialist. >>>> >>>>Regards. >>> >>>Thanks for your reply, Mr. Gnaramori. >>> >>>No, I considered the event in Argentina, but that doesn't convince me, we need >>>much more data, before we can establish whether or not computers/chessprograms, >>>really _are_ 2600 or better. I do agree that the _gap_ is certainly closing! >>>The five year mark is a _cautious_ estimate. >>>Actually in might be possible for programs to reach 2800 in the next 5 years, >>>but that IMO is an optimistic guess!;) >> >>No this is not the optimistic guess. >> >>The optimistic guess is my guess >>My guess is that you need to wait less time for it. >> >>My guess is that good chess programs can also teach the best humans to play >>better so getting 2800 or even 2900 is not going to be enough to be number 1 in >>the world. >> >>Uri > > > >Garry Kasparov, the best player in the world for many years, said that the best >computer programs today, in a fast machine are clearly at GM level.(2600 elo to >up). he also said that sometimes in closed positions, generally the machine >played more weak, but also like a computer programs, the humans have also very >weak points in their play that many times the computers dont have. Computers are >clearly stronger than any human in Tactics, this is clear. Humans are also >good, but they are very far to the power of the machine to see some great >tactics combinations. Tactics are like other people said here, very very >important. You could be a great positional player, but if you miss a tactical >shot in some position, you could lose the game very fast. > > The point is that Garry Kasparov said, and is completely sure, that Computer >programs play at GM Level in a fast Computer. This no need more discussion, >Computers programs are clearly at GM level. And soon, in a couple of years, we >will have a program that play at Super GM strenght. This is really inevitable. >We need to acept the challenge. Computers are time to time stronger, and >stronger. There's always room for discussion Tanya;) Regardless, I would agree the best programs on the fastest hardware _are_ at the GM level, and I doubt many will argue that today.(2500 is the beginning of the GM Class) Still it will be a few more years before computers are equal to the top GM's and still a few more years after that, superior to the very best, including the WCC, IMO. In a decade it will all be academic, I feel. Still the human spirit is strong, and even in 2010 I wouldn't count the very best out, but we'll see. Terry
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