Author: Mark Young
Date: 18:10:24 06/09/98
Go up one level in this thread
On June 09, 1998 at 17:02:51, Ed Schröder wrote: >>Posted by Christophe Theron on June 09, 1998 at 14:01:59: > >>>My view, in total 30 >>4:30 vs 45:00<< games will be played. Imagine >>>the following possible scores: > >>>a) 4:30 vs 45:00 5 - 25 --> Speed is decisive. >>>b) 4:30 vs 45:00 10 - 20 --> My expectation. >>>c) 4:30 vs 45:00 13 - 17 --> Speed is not decisive. > > >>I you use the top programs currently competing in CCL, my bet is that >>you'll get the 5 - 25 result. > >It's an old discussion. My view is that going from 5 to 6 ply is a lot >more worth than going from ply 12 to 13 and going from 12 to 13 ply will >gain more elo than going from ply 18 to 19. > From the testing I have done in the past. I think that this view is most probable correct. >IMO there comes a time (say about 10 years?) that a doubling of >processor speed will gain only 2-5 elo points. How much worth is >a doubling these days? A NPS tournament can reveal something about >this. > This might be true running todays programs, but you programmers are very good at finding new ways of using spare CPU horsepower. >My speculation is 10-20 as the current top programs at such fast >machines are already so good that they can't be slaughtered with >your suggested 5-25. > >- Ed - > > >>This just will tell us nothing. I suppose you think differently. So can >>you please explain what kind of lesson you are expecting from this? > It’s amazing just how little the creator truly understands the nature of the monster he makes. If we knew what lessons we would learn for running this experiment there might not be a need to run it. >>But OK, as I said, this has to be done at least one time. > >>And BTW I hope to be wrong. I like to be surprised! > >> Christophe
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