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Subject: OT/ Re: What is the future for Linux?

Author: Peter Berger

Date: 12:52:34 10/03/02

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On October 03, 2002 at 13:47:14, Russell Reagan wrote:

>On October 03, 2002 at 13:00:20, leonid wrote:
>
>>Hi,
>>
>>I just was seeing one program on TV that said that Linux is the most quickly
>>growing system between all existing. So, I am curious to know more about
>>perspective of this free platform. What is Your perspective about future growing
>>for Linux and the way that it could go? Where will be Linux in around 10 years
>>from now?
>>
>>Cheers,
>>Leonid.
>
>I'm currently getting an associates degree in unix system administration. My
>parents and friends tell me I'm foolish for spending the extra time to do this
>before I get my CS degree. Because they've never heard of unix, they think it's
>some new thing that will be out of style in a matter of months. They have it
>backwards though. They think Microsoft is here to stay and that this obscure
>unix thing they've never heard of is just a thing that's in fassion that will go
>away and my time spent here learning unix will be a waste. I don't think it's a
>coincidence that unix has been around for over three decades, that unix sys
>admins make an average of $20,000 more per year than Microsofties, or that all
>of the big businesses are using or migrating to unix or linux.

When it is about those $20,000 - isn't it more logical to conclude that
administration of Unix boxes is simply more difficult so that you need more
knowledge?

Have you red/heard about the N1 vision of Sun Microsystems? Also development of
system management programs clearly head into the same direction: administration
of Unix boxes currently requires too much understanding and knowledge and there
are a lot of efforts to make it easier to save those 20,000.

Currently Microsoft can't really compete in the high-end market, also there
still is some Java hype so Unix has maintained it's market share so far. It even
made some progress if I remember the numbers correctly. But with .NET this might
very well change.

This is only the Microsoft OS - Unix discussion of course.

When it is about the home market I don't think Linux is really making
significant progress at all. And I don't think it will have a much bigger market
share in this segment in 10 years - but that's only IMHO of course.

Peter




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