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Subject: Re: This Super Laptop with Fritz 8 would even beat Judith Polgar!

Author: Rolf Tueschen

Date: 12:33:36 06/15/04

Go up one level in this thread


On June 15, 2004 at 15:14:45, Dann Corbit wrote:

>On June 15, 2004 at 14:30:48, Rolf Tueschen wrote:
>
>>On June 15, 2004 at 13:38:56, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>
>>>On June 12, 2004 at 16:57:06, Peter Fendrich wrote:
>>
>>>>Well after 10 games you can't even rely on the accuracy of error bars and
>>>>shouldn't use them (based on the bell curve) but the rating is well defined as
>>>>one value. "x's rating after 10 games is 2739" is a correct statement.
>>>
>>>That is misleading and very bad science.
>>>Why not say that the rating is
>>>2739.8356245494183672715153891736273563
>>>?
>>>Even though you are not even sure about the leading 2.
>>>
>>>>/Peter
>>
>>
>>Is Peter one of the statistical scientists behind the creation of SSDF? I can't
>>believe it.
>
>I think he is just following current practice (for instance a FIDE, USCF, BCF
>etc. rating does not descibe its own accuracy).
>
>When a player is said to have a rating of 2345 what does it mean?  We have no
>idea, although for the very rough ratings they are called 'provisional'.
>
>It is much better to describe the ratings like an entry in (for instance) the
>CRC handbook of chemistry and physics, with a tolerance figure to show how well
>known and accurately described the rating is.
>
>But since nobody else does it, they do not follow the practice either.
>
>On the other hand, they provide the necessary data to produce the same
>information, with their error bars.

Dann - of course!! But isn't this here about what should be the best to do
(scientifically)? I mean, could we play stupid only because testing has no real
importance in a sport where winning is the ultimate ratio? I thought a minority
here should guarantee a certain state of the art...

[Just like Germany that leads 1-0 in a preround soccer match against Netherlands
at the European Championships in Portugal...]

:)



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