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Subject: Re: M$ goes Chess?!?

Author: KarinsDad

Date: 14:50:48 01/05/99

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On January 05, 1999 at 16:53:34, Christopher R. Dorr wrote:
>
>

[section snipped]

>This raises the larger question of whether or not we are nearing the top
>strength of current algorithms. Are we near that limit? Hardware will of course
>make things better, but really, how much has the absolute state of the art
>increased over the last couple years. A couple dozen rating points? If that?
>
>If there were significant advances to be found in the fundamental algorithms
>that underly virtually all modern chess programs, I think that somone would have
>found them. There have ben advances in the implementation of those that
>currently exist, but when is the last time somebody had a fundamental change in
>the way their program plays chess that brought them many points?

Well, using the example that nobody has yet had a major paradigm shift to
improve their algorithms in a major way to prove that it cannot be done doesn't
quite fly either. Right now, I am working on a chess program that has at least
two features in it which have the potential to significantly improve the
selection process that I have never heard of anywhere in the newsgroups, on the
internet, or in the journals. Does that mean that Fritz or Junior doesn't
implement one or both of these features, at least in some manner? I have no way
of knowing. The commercial developers are (and properly so) closed mouthed about
the internals of their programs. Will my advancements result in the next leap in
computer chess technology? Probably not. At best, I think I can eventually be
competitive with the leaders. However, the point is that if I am successful in
creating a competitive program, how much better would an experienced team with a
lot of resources behind them be? There were a lot of people who felt that
Kasparov would never lose a match at tournament speeds to Deep Blue either.

There seems to be one constant in the universe. Never say never. No matter what
concept seems farfetched today, tomorrow will often prove it to not be so
(although you are perfectly justified to look at the track record for the last
10 years and say, "Hey, we haven't had a major leap yet and nothing appears to
be looming on the horizon."). I guess the answer to this question is beyond the
human "event horizon".

:)

KarinsDad

>
>In short, Microsoft could buy every chess program on this planet, and combine
>the best of these to make a better program than exists now. No argument. But
>could they significantly advance the state of the art (as the original poster
>stated that a former MicroSoft manager told him)? I really don't think so.

PS. Without a single improvement in the basic engine and just with improvements
in the opening books, learning routines, tablebases, and GUIs, you do advance
the state of the art.

>
>Chris Dorr
>
>



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