Author: Tim Mirabile
Date: 09:20:43 02/01/99
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On January 30, 1999 at 11:22:59, KarinsDad wrote: >Again, it would be nice to analyze results of all of the rated games in the US >for the last year. That would be a sample size of what, between 200,000 and >500,000 games? Give or take. That is what we need to find out if I am correct or >not. The U.S. Amateur Team East, which will be played over president's day weekend, offers a "best upset" prize. The winner is usually a 700-800 upset, but it's usually a 1000 rated kid who beats a 1700-1800. There are probably on the order of 2500 games played. I remember seeing something in Chess Life a few years back where an A-player beat Lev Alburt, possibly when he was U.S. champion. I think upset draws are much more than twice as likely as upset wins, but we don't hear about them as much.
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