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Subject: Re: What is the approximate ELO of Fritz @ 70 Ghz ?

Author: Terry McCracken

Date: 18:34:01 09/04/01

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On September 04, 2001 at 21:19:33, Slater Wold wrote:

>On September 04, 2001 at 20:33:48, Terry McCracken wrote:
>
>>On September 04, 2001 at 20:02:47, Dann Corbit wrote:
>>
>>>How much will the ram cost that can be read at that speed?
>>>;-)
>>>
>>>With ram that runs at the same speed as today's DDR ram, the difference will not
>>>be great (just imagine turning off all hash tables).  A 70 GHz CPU just creates
>>>a massive memory bottleneck (unless they can somehow apply the same technology
>>>to RAM).
>>>
>>>If they apply the same technology to RAM, how many KWH will that machine
>>>consume?
>>>;-)
>>>
>>>I'd like to see a few more figures before imagining any projections.
>>
>>I'd be cautious too in making projections, but in 5 to 10 years the average
>>PC owner like myself may well indeed have, what today is considered exotic or
>>expensive, even the improbable on their desktops.
>>
>>Does it sound really unreasonable that AMD and Intel will have "New" types of
>>chips and ram that will blow the doors off existing PC's of today?
>>
>>Forgive the expression "Blow the Doors Off" , as I borrowed that from Dr.
>>Hyatt:)
>>
>>
>>I hate to really guess what speeds or even "New" technologies will be on our
>>desks by 2010!
>>
>>Any bets that by that time 1Thz might be feasible?;)
>
>CPU speed doubles every 18 months.
>
>We are at 2Ghz now, so if you do the math:
>
>4Ghz in 18 months.
>
>8Ghz in 36 months.
>
>16Ghz in 54 months.
>
>32Ghz in 72 months.
>
>64Ghz in 90 months.
>
>1.28Thz in 108 months.
>
>So we're a little less than 9 years away.  :)
>
>
>Slate

Thanks Slate! I concur with Moore's Law.

Here's a link for things to come in the first quarter of this century.

http://www.scientificamerican.com/news/082801/1.html


Terry



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