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Subject: Re: GM Smirin vs 4 comps - Match Predictions

Author: Terry McCracken

Date: 07:58:13 04/17/02

Go up one level in this thread


On April 17, 2002 at 09:07:04, Chris Carson wrote:

>On April 17, 2002 at 03:33:12, Uri Blass wrote:
>
>>On April 17, 2002 at 03:04:52, Terry McCracken wrote:
>>
>>>On April 17, 2002 at 01:31:51, Joe Little wrote:
>>>
>>>>On April 16, 2002 at 18:28:36, Otello Gnaramori wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>On April 16, 2002 at 17:19:13, martin fierz wrote:
>>>>>>a program which plays a game like shredder vs.
>>>>>>smirin is just not GM strength. it is 3000+ in tactics and 2000- in positional
>>>>>>play.
>>>>>
>>>>>I think that chess is made over 90% of tactics... so 2700+ is not an optimistic
>>>>>evaluation.
>>>>>
>>>>>Regards,
>>>>>Otello
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> I agree, seems pretty obvious to me but who am I?
>>>
>>>Yes Chess is 90% tactics at least, maybe even 95%! But that would still only
>>>mean that programmes play around 2700 level in tactics only, not in positional
>>>play and planning, which is _fundamental_ and till a programme aquires this
>>>skill in won't be a _complete_ Grandmaster.
>>>
>>>Planning is many years away, positional play is advanced a long ways but still
>>>needs improvement.
>>>
>>>Computers will play 2800+ in tactics long before it can actually manage deep
>>>positional play, let alone planning.
>>
>>I think that computers are 2800+ in tactic even today and it is not something
>>about the future.
>>
>>tactics is not only long combinations but mainly short combinations.
>>No human can see every short combination that programs has no chance to miss.
>>
>>Uri
>
>I agree with you Uri.  I would add that computers still have some problems with
>chess knowledge, however they make up for it with tactics.  I would also add
>that Planning and Preparation are the keys (or just plain luck) to beating the
>comps.  Do you have any additional ideas on beating the comps?
>
>I also agree with your evaluation on opening preparation.  I see no ethical
>reason why a program must use a known book.  GM's get to use any
>book/preparation they choose, it is only fair that the comps get to change their
>books. (This discussion was in a different part of this thread).


What's your rating Chris as you need to be 2800 to know whether or not
Comps./Programmes have attained this level of sophistication.

Kasparov and Kramnik say todays' programmes on top PC's are not 2800+ in the
tactical arena.

They miss too much in long range tactics due to the "Horizon Effect".

Terry



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