Author: Peter Skinner
Date: 07:51:30 10/13/04
Go up one level in this thread
On October 13, 2004 at 10:34:50, Graham Laight wrote: >At the risk of being argumentative, I'm afraid I disagree with your view. That is allowed from time to time :) >Between them, Fritz and Hydra score 7/8 in Bilbao. I have just run the >simulator >(http://www.talkchess.com/forums/1/message.html?391364) for an 8 game >tournament, with the win probability at 33%, the draw probability at 34%, and >the lose probability at 33%. If you truly believe that GMs can crush computers >at will (implied by you 4 paragraphs above), then these odds are very generous. > >The results? > >0.52% probability of achieving 7 points >0.09% probability of achieving 7.5 points >0.03% probability of achieving 8 points > Here is a scenario that I would like you to think about. Take the top 5 computers, and the top 5 GM in the world. Set them up in a "skin" format tournament where $50,000 per game is at stake. Time control is standard tournament time controls. The winner gets it all, the loser gets nothing, and in the event of a draw, the money is carried over to the next game. I am willing to wager that the humans take home 90% of the money. If not all of it. It is amazing that when money is on the line, the best human players shine. Computers know nothing of "stakes" in this type of event. Human nature, and greed will crush the silicons.. Peter
This page took 0 seconds to execute
Last modified: Thu, 15 Apr 21 08:11:13 -0700
Current Computer Chess Club Forums at Talkchess. This site by Sean Mintz.