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Subject: Re: Poll Question - Tournaments vs Matches

Author: Chris Carson

Date: 11:08:39 01/05/00

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On January 05, 2000 at 13:40:02, Ed Schröder wrote:

>On January 05, 2000 at 13:25:12, Robert Hyatt wrote:
>
>>On January 05, 2000 at 10:53:50, Bertil Eklund wrote:
>>
>>>On January 05, 2000 at 09:45:04, Chris Carson wrote:
>>>
>>>>For ELO measurements (FIDE, PCA, SSDF or combined).  Would a computer
>>>>(or perhaps a person) get a higher rating in a tournament than in
>>>>a match?
>>>>
>>>>My opinion is that a tournament is a better predictor of strength
>>>>than a match.  My reason (not based on any facts, it would be an
>>>>interesting study) is that in a tournament a person (or machine) would
>>>>face a broader range of styles than in a match.  In a match, the person
>>>>or computer might face an opponent that just plain does well against
>>>>him/her/it (Even Fisher had a nimises).  Also, in match play, each
>>>>player can book up on the opponent and may get an advantage that might
>>>>not be there in a tournament (more players to worry about).
>>>>
>>>>So, I think a tournament is a better measure of strength than a match.
>>>>
>>>>Second question:  Would computer ratings benifit more from tournament
>>>>play than match play?  I vote that tournament play would produce higher
>>>>(more accurate) ratings for computers against people than match play.
>>>>
>>>>Just my two cents.  :)
>>>>
>>>>Best Regards,
>>>>Chris Carson
>>>Hi!
>>>
>>>You are right humans plays a lot better in single game matches and that is the
>>>main reason between the discrepance between the SSDF-list and these matches
>>>often with increment or double-increment time-controls.
>>>
>>>Regards Bertil SSDF
>>
>>
>>Here I still disagree.  The SSDF list is simply grossly inflated.  Programs are
>>not playing at a 2700 level, if by 2700 the word "FIDE" comes to mind.  The lack
>>of human competition over the last 7-8 years has caused this, as
>>machine-vs-machine ratings tend to get exaggerated.  I can't count the number of
>>times I have made small changes to crafty that would cause version N+1 to beat
>>version N by a 60-40 margin, yet the rating remained _exactly_ the same on ICC.
>>
>>Most versions will beat the earlier versions by significant margins, yet the
>>overall skill level gain (against humans) is lower than what is suggested by
>>taking the win/lose/draw score and running it thru the Elo formula.
>>
>>As I have said before, the pools are totally different.  The ratings are not
>>comparable in any fashion until the two pools of players are merged and mingled
>>enough that they can be treated equally.
>
>I say amen to that. How can anybody believe nowadays chess programs can
>compete with players like:
>
>6 2209390 Shirov, Alexei  2722 ESP g  13
>7 2000024 Kamsky, Gata  2720 USA g  0
>8 2805677 Gelfand, Boris  2713 ISR g  24
>9 4100026 Karpov, Anatoly  2709 RUS g  9
>10 400041 Adams, Michael  2705 ENG g  48
>11 14100010 Ivanchuk, Vassily  2702 UKR g  27
>12 703303 Leko, Peter  2699 HUN g  14
>13 2900084 Topalov, Veselin  2695 BUL g  36
>
>on 40/2?
>
>Maybe they can on 30/all but 40/2?
>
>Ed

Ed,

Compete yes, win most of the time no.  I would expect close
competition between top 5 programs and this list (PCA ratings):

45. Smirin,Ilia             ISR     2599    182
46. Kasimdzhanov,Rustam     UZB     2599    174
47. Khenkin,Igor            RUS     2598    193
48. Lautier,Joel            FRA     2596    157
49. Kharlov,Andrei          RUS     2596    170
50. Magerramov,Elmar        AZE     2595    187
51. Piket,Jeroen            NED     2595    153
52. Bologan,Viorel          MDA     2594    199

See my other post.  I would expect the top 5 programs to score
2519 or better (in tournament, not match play).  Note: That is
still a loosing record, but very competitive!  :)

Just my opinion.  :)

Oh, great matches you have been putting on.  I hope only the
best for the great programs Rebel and Tiger.  :)

Best Regards,
Chris Carson



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