Author: Peter Kappler
Date: 20:50:14 06/08/99
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On June 08, 1999 at 21:16:41, KarinsDad wrote: >On June 08, 1999 at 20:20:49, Peter Kappler wrote: > >>On June 08, 1999 at 17:31:47, Christoph Fieberg wrote: >> >><snip> >>> >>>The gnawing question is: HOW HIGH IS THE MAXIMUM ELO NUMBER? >>> >> >>I think this is an interesting question. >> >>Let's assume that Kasparov faced a computer opponent that played perfect chess - >>i.e. it had the "ultimate tablebase". :-) >> >>Would Garry lose every game, or could he draw some games against a perfect >>opponent? My guess is that the drawing margin in chess is large enough that >>Kasparov would draw occasionally, but probably not more than 10% of the games. > >My guess is that he would loss them all since even he plays nowhere near perfect >chess. Looking only 6 to 10 ply down (on average) means that he HAS to be making >mistakes every game. They are just real subtle mistakes. And this can be >illustrated by looking at Garry's endgames. Normally, he has an advantage >walking into the endgame. But analyze his endgames where he does not have an >advantage against a tablebase and you will see that he does not play perfect >chess (or anywhere near). There is no question that Garry makes mistakes in his games - I didn't mean to imply that he is anywhere close to playing perfect chess. The key question is how wide is the drawing margin in chess? There are countless material-down endings that are drawn, and we all have seen games where one side has a nagging edge for the entire game but it isn't quite enough to convert to a win. > >Garry playing against a perfect full game tablebase would be like me playing >against Deep Blue. Not a contest. Ever. > I think the games would be interesting. By no means would I expect them to all be blowouts. --Peter >Just my guess... :-) > >KarinsDad :) > >> >>A 10% win expectance correlates to approximately a 400 point ELO rating >>difference, and since Kasparov is ~2850 FIDE (after his recent victories) this >>would mean the "perfect" chess player would have a rating of at least 3250. >> >>Just my guess... :-) >> >>--Peter
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