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Subject: Re: The importance of opening books -- a simple experiment

Author: John Merlino

Date: 11:50:57 02/17/05

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On February 17, 2005 at 14:23:20, Robert Hyatt wrote:

>On February 17, 2005 at 14:15:57, Sune Fischer wrote:
>
>>On February 17, 2005 at 14:03:30, Tord Romstad wrote:
>>
>>Well 700 Elo is equivalent to about 5-6 pawns material advantage,
>>I don't think I have ever seen that in an actual game much less
>>seen it on average.
>>
>>I can believe in a good book giving half a pawn or ~50 Elo,
>>not much more than that is realistic IMO.
>>
>>Perhaps the person you refer to is talking about a book
>>with "perfect chess" reaching 80 plies deep? :)
>>
>>-S.
>
>No, the person he is talking about simply lives in an alternate universe where
>our normal rules of physics and math do not apply...
>
>I don't see why anyone would even bother participating in that particular
>discussion, much less running tests.  I claim that water freezes at 12.7C,
>who is going to run a detailed test to see if that is right or not?  Or is
>common sense enough?  :)

I can't believe I'm going to do this. But, to defend Vincent and Arturo to some
degree, I'm PRETTY SURE they were referring to a book that was specifically
designed to be played against a single opponent. Somebody please correct me if
I'm wrong.

So, the only accurate way to test this (regardless of your argument that it
doesn't need to be tested at all due to "common sense" -- which may be a fine
argument but I'm not too sure it holds up scientifically :-) would be to create
a book that is designed to exploit the weaknesses in Hiarcs' book, and then test
with that. Then compare the results to using NO book, which, I believe, Vincent
was arguing reflected the other end of the 700-point range.

Will it show the possibility of a 700-point ELO gain? I very highly doubt it.
But I do think it will result in a much bigger difference than the 3 points out
of 100 that came from the first test.

jm



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