Author: Peter Skinner
Date: 06:09:05 10/13/04
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On October 13, 2004 at 07:51:42, Graham Laight wrote: >I refer you to http://www.talkchess.com/forums/1/message.html?391364 , and I >would be interested to read your comments! One tournament would hardly be a basis to determine the strength of a human or a computer. In such case the biggest factor is luck, or lack there of. That is why rating lists are based on large number of games, vs a pool of players. In the human pools there are so many factors to consider. Fatigue, stress, dehydration are some of the factors. Take tennis for instance. The #1 women's player in the world just announced that she is cutting her season short due to fatigue. The same can happen in just one tournament. A player could be fatigued due to schedule, flight arrangements, or the hooker he purchased the night before keeping him up all night. :) There are just to many unknown factors that one simply can not base a strength assessment on just one tourament. I use a "season" of results to determine what programs I will be purchasing, namely the IPCCC, WCCC, ICCT, and the SSDF list results to determine strength. If one program were to win 3/4 events it is likely that such program is the strongest. Especially when looking at the results it beat the #2 and #3 competitors on a regular basis. Peter
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