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Subject: Re: Why Did Junior Underperform So Badly In Bilbao?

Author: Robert Hyatt

Date: 12:11:27 10/12/04

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On October 12, 2004 at 13:11:27, Graham Laight wrote:

>On October 12, 2004 at 13:07:22, Omid David Tabibi wrote:
>
>>On October 12, 2004 at 10:28:16, Graham Laight wrote:
>>
>>>Hydra seems to be a god-like system in its ability to pick out the profoundly
>>>brilliant move. Is it available to play against online anywhere?  If ever there
>>>was a justification for charging a fee for a game of chess, then Hydra has it in
>>>spades! In competition after competition, it just keeps on punching in those
>>>brilliant performances.
>>>
>>>We have also known for many years that Fritz is outstanding - Franz and
>>>Mattheius (sp?) have long had a subliminally fast system - but for the past
>>>several years, they've also had a strategic system, with quite outstanding
>>>positioning skills. For them to equal Hydra's Bilbao score with only a 1.9 GHz
>>>processor represents consolidation of their position at the top of the
>>>programmers' tree.
>>>
>>>Then we have Junior - which flopped. What was it doing in the computer team? It
>>>was the only computer to get a negative score against the humans - and was well
>>>short of what its team-mates achieved (see
>>>http://www.ajedrezbilbao.com/cResultadosEN.htm).
>>>
>>>How does one explain such a poor performance by Junior, which had massively
>>>superior hardware to Fritz?  Should we ask the Junior programmers to forward
>>>their program to to Franz Morsch for advice and improvement?
>>>
>>
>>Reading comments like yours, I come to the conclusion that an Introduction to
>>Statistics course should be made mandatory as a prerequisite for joining CCC...
>
>I obtained a university qualification in statistics 20 years ago (I did an
>ancillary in statistics as part of my computing degree).
>
>-g

You probably need a refresher course.  :)

I just picked four pennies out of my pocket and flipped each of them 4 times.
Know what I found?  One penny that will _only_ produce heads.  It produced four
heads in a row, and that is _clearly_ enough samples to say how it will do for
longer tests, right?  :)

3 draws and a loss against GM players is _not_ a bad result.  If you think it
is, you have a highly exaggerated opinion of how strong computers really are.
Hint:  "think lower".

based on that at least 1/2 of the GM players that enter tournaments produce very
"poor" results...


>
>>>-g



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